GLORIOUS GOODWOOD FESTIVAL LOWDOWN
I hope you enjoyed the Goodwood Festival. It was a decent festival in the end with a 4.1 point profit. That works out at £41 profit using £10 win and £5 E/W or £410 profit using £100 win and £50 E/W.
We got off to a great start with the winner of the first race at 9/1. Things went a little slow over the next 2-3 days but picked towards the end of the week. We could of won a lot more as I think we had some very unlucky stories.
After each festival I like to compile a lowdown for all my members. My customers always come first and I pride myself on customer service.
Below you will find a write up on our winners, E/W’s, hard luck stories and horses to follow going forward. We also have 1 ante post bet for next season. We have also included a profit/loss table with comments on every tip this week.
Before I move on with the lowdown I would like to let you know about my next Festival Special which is the York Ebor Festival. The Ebor Festival starts on the Wednesday 19th August and runs for 4 days until the 22nd August. The Ebor Festival hosts a huge 9 Group races over the 4 days so all the top horses will be lining up. The York Ebor Festival is available now at £7.50 at www.jpwracingtipster.com
If you are interested in joining full time then we offer a number of different packages and all festivals are included in these packages.
First Month Member (All New Members) – £13.00
1 Month – £26.00
3 Months – £65.00
6 Months – £115.00
1 Year – £200
1 Year Festivals £75 (14 in total)
All available at www.jpwracingtipster.com
Now onto the Goodwood Lowdown.
We had 3 winners this week and a write up on each is below.
MOUNT LOGAN had finished 3rd and 4th in 2 decent handicaps previously and deserved this win. He was given a great ride by Adam Kirby and I knew he had a race like this in his sights. He will now go up the handicap so might find things tough in the future but it is nice to see a horse who has always been consistent win a big prize like this. For me I always knew he was the classiest animal in the race and with a clear run he would win. Everything did go right and at an advised 9/1 Goodwood was off to a flyer.
MALABAR was available at a huge 10/1 the night before and I said in my write up that was massive value. Down from Group 1 company at 10/1 is a no brainer and she also had winning form at the track. For me MALABAR was one of the most impressive winners of the week showing a tremendous turn of foot. The fact that she won so well I am sure they will want to step her up back to Group 1 company. She might bump into a few horses with a touch more class but any race where she runs and MALABAR has to come around a bend I will be on. She has a lot of gears and seems to like a sweeping turn. Given a terrific ride by Silvestre De Sousa who got his position early on before asking her to go for home which she obliged in impressive fashion. There is talk of her being targeted for Fillies races only in the US so I will be keeping my eyes out.
At the start of the season I gave all my members MUTHMIR as my horse to follow this season. He has already won in France at the start of the year and even if MUTHMIR does not win again this season, he owes me nothing. I thought this was an excellent result for MUTHMIR who was giving 4lb away to all the field. When asked to dig deep he obliged and stuck his neck out. A true sign of a gutsy sprinter. The next race is likely to be the Nunthorpe at York where MUTHMIR won last year. I know the Nunthorpe has been the target all season so will go into the race with a great chance. He will bump into the US Star Acuapulo but still would have a leading chance. Roll on York in 2 weeks time.
EACH WAY HORSES
We had 3 E/W horses who gave us a return.
TEAK ran another consistent race to finish 5th and with 90% of the bookies paying 5 places we made a return. This horse never runs a bad race on the flat and would interest me in all leading handicap staying races.
We were unlucky with BARNET FAIR who finished 2nd at an advised 16/1. He won the race last year and was on a lower mark. We also had Richard Hughes on board yet they wanted to give 16/1. Happy days for all of us and he just bumped into 1 horse to good. Will go up the handicap a 1lb or 2lb but could still be capable of winning a race off this mark. Would like to see where he goes next but I will be keeping a close eye.
A huge gamble took place on TROPICS who went from our advised 16/1 to 7/1 on the off. I thought he ran a great race considering the weight he was carrying and at one stage I thought he was going to win. He came in 5th and we picked up E/W money with 90% of bookies paying 5 places. Not a horse I would follow in Group 1s though as I think he will get outclassed.
HARD LUCK STORIES
I think BIRCHWOOD would of won this race if the gap was not closed on him. He lost many lengths because of this but still stayed on at the end. Shaped like a horse who would also get further. I will be interested as to where they go next with BIRCHWOOD.
QUEST FOR MORE was really unlucky to go down by a short head. This horse has improved massively this season and I still think he will improve further. I will be following this horse as I think he is a future Gold Cup horse and plenty more races are to be won.
WINDSHEAR ran a great race to finish 3rd with only the first 2 home collecting E/W money. He certainly outrun his starting price just as I thought he would. Richard Hughes may of got closer but a gap closed and had to go on the outside which cost WINDSHEAR a few lengths. I have no doubt he is a Group 3, Class 1 horse and we may get a tasty price again next time out.
HORSE TO FOLLOW
I will be following ZAND until the end of the season because I thought he was travelling very well 3 furlongs out but seemed to stop and was brought home in his own time. His handicap mark should drop and I think Mark Johnson has other plans for this horse beyond Goodwood.
There is another race in AYAAR who should drop down handicap 1lb or 2lb. It will be interesting to see which route they go but this is a strong travelling type likely to be decent value on his next start.
MUBTAGHAA should go to York on his next start as he won a race at the Ebor meeting last year. Should come down the handicap further and will be a huge price next time out I imagine.
KACHY made only his 2nd career start and was so impressive when beating King Of Rooks. Travels so well through races and goes through the gears like a very good horse. It is hard not to see why this horse will not go right to the top in my opinion.
ANTE POST TIP
QUEST FOR MORE to win the Ascot Gold Cup next season at a huge 16/1 is a great bet. Will not be half that price if lining up next year. That race has got to be the plan and Roger Charlton will be training with just one race in mind.
Below are the results from the week.
Profit Loss using £10 stakes (£10 win and £5 EW) Best Odds Guaranteed
ZAND 2:00 E/W
15th at 10/1
Was Travelling well before being eased down. Keep an eye out as a race in this horse this season.
MOUNT LOGAN 2:00 E/W
1st at 8/1
Excellent win but may be in the handicappers grip after this win.
BIRCHWOOD 2:35 WIN
5th at 10/3
Would of won the race in my opinion. A hard luck story will keep an eye out for next run.
DUTCH CONNECTION 3:10 WIN
2nd at 9/4
Didn’t turn up on the day and never travelled. With all considered done well to finish 2nd.
ARAMIST 2:00 E/W
15th at 16/1
Keep an eye on handicap mark.
TEAK 2:00 E/W
5th 10/1 (5 Places)
Another consistent run.
DISEGNO 2:35 WIN
3rd at 7/1
Outclassed but sure to keep on improving. If entered in Class 1 will win next time out.
KING OF ROOKS 3:45 WIN
2nd at evens
I got this one wrong thought he was a certainty but bumped into a very good horse in Kachy.
AWESOME POWER 2:05 E/W
9th at 8/1
Got hampered and that was race over. Keep an eye on handicap mark.
ROTHERWICK 2:05 E/W
14th at 9/1
Didn’t turn up.
LOG OUT ISLAND 2:35 WIN
7th at 6/1
Needs 5 furlongs.
QUEST FOR MORE 3:10 WIN
2nd at 9/2
Unlucky and great effort. Improved all season. I have my eye on him for the Gold Cup at Ascot next season.
SIMENON 3:10 WIN
8th at 7/1
Long in the tooth winning days probably behind him.
WINDSHEAR 2:00 E/W
3rd at 18/1
Great effort and we were unlucky not to get E/W money. Interested where he goes next.
MALABAR 2:35 E/W
1st at 6/1
Different class back in Group 3 company. Could be a Goodwood Specialist?
AYAAR 3:10 E/W
6th at 12/1
Unlucky not to get place money finishing in 6th. Hopefully drop 1lb or 2lb. Keep an eye out.
MUTHMIR 3:45 WIN
1st at 3/1
My horse to follow for the season and he truly obliged. Great win.
BARNET FAIR 2:00 E/W
2nd at 14/1
Very Unlucky in 2nd place. Handicap likely to go up but still interests me if not to much.
MUBTAGHAA 2:00 E/W
7th at 25/1
Great effort in 7th. If his handicaps goes down could be a player at York Ebor as he won a race at festival last year.
STARS OF SEVILLE 3:10 E/W
7th at 6/1
Dissapointed. Maybe wants further.
TROPICS 3:45 E/W
5th at 7/1 (5 places)
Great effort giving weight all around.
JACK DEXTER 3:45 E/W
8th at 20/1
Out run his price advised of 40/1.
JPW Racing Tipster