CHELTENHAM NOVEMBER FESTIVAL SPECIAL 2023

Friday 17th November 2023 - Sunday 19th November 2023 - With JPW Racing Tipster

You are here: Home / Subscribe / Festival only service / Next festival

 Are you ready for the Cheltenham November Festival Special 2023?

£7.99 for the remaining 2 days of top quality tips

We are in top class form

Can we make it 15 from the last 16 Cheltenham November Festivals of profit?

Another big festival will be shortly upon us with the Cheltenham November Festival – my stomping ground.

Many of you will know JPW Racing Tipster and Cheltenham go hand in hand. We are 15 from 15 Cheltenham Festivals (March) in profit and 14 from 15 Cheltenham November Festivals in profit – looking to make it 15 from 16 November Festival’s in profit.

Last year we smashed the November Festival with 8 points profit and even won the Scoop 6 Bonus, netting £308k between myself and members who played.

In 2021 we smashed the November Festival with 10 points profit over the 3 days and this year will be no different.

Next up is the Cheltenham November Festival. A festival which runs for 3 days between Friday 17th November and Sunday 19th November. Over the 3 days we have some excellent graded races along with some very competitive handicaps, the type of races we love.

It is a festival we have done extremely well in the past making profit in 14 of the last 15 years and confidence as always is extremely high.

If you take yourself back to last year at the Festival and on the Saturday, we smashed the bookies to bits and even the Saturday back in 2021 with 3 winners at 10/1, 10/1 and 6/1. The write ups are attached below.

All tips come with full race analysis and they are the most in depth you will find in the industry. No stone is left unturned and you will find no harder working tipster when it comes to the big Festivals. 

 

Our Festivals are very popular for a big reason, the fact we make huge amounts of profit.

We are just on the back of massive St Leger Festival with 20 points profit, massive profit at the York Ebor Festival with 13 points profit,  Newmarket July Festival to the tune of 14 points profit. We also came away with profit at Glorious Goodwood and that has pretty much been the story, profit after profit with the festivals and the odd losing festival, every now and then.

It is a running theme and we could go back a lot longer with all the huge profit we have made at festivals over the years. 

Over the last year and a bit, we are 18 from the last 22 festivals in profit.

 
I cannot wait for the Cheltenham November Festival to get going and you won’t find a tipster in the whole country with a record like ours when it comes to the Festivals over a 15 year period.
 
Put simply the Cheltenham November Festival is my time to shine, when the pressure is on, JPW always delivers on the big stage and this year will be no different. 
 

What can you expect from the Cheltenham November Festival Special 2023?
 

We can’t give any guarantees that we are going to make profit in the 2023 Cheltenham November Festival but we do have an amazing record which is probably the best in the industry over a decade and a half. We are as confident as ever, going into a Festival.

We are as honest and trustworthy as they come and customers are at the forefront of everything we do.

By joining JPW Racing Tipster, you will know that all tips are fully researched and come with a full write up for every tip.

We give a very in depth analysis for every race we tip in, accompanied by a selection. The write ups show the massive amount of work that goes in and exactly how thorough we are, in the work we produce, keeping it professional from start to finish.

To view an example of how our tips are sent via email,
and the write ups you'll receive, check out our ebook below.

View Example Write Ups

The winning write ups from previous festivals that our members received –

Work of the highest QUALITY

 

GA LAW 5/1 WINNER OF THE PADDY POWER GOLD CUP

Well the time has come to find the winner of the Paddy Power Gold Cup and net ourselves further £308k.

Before moving on all I will say is, it has been non stop studying for the race, there is not an angle I haven’t looked at and no stone has been left unturned.

 
In an ideal world of course it would have been nice to have a couple of picks, like we do on the Scoop 6 but even so, I am confident our selection goes very close.
 
Generally from a tipping point of view it is a bit different when it comes to the Scoop 6 Bonus. Yes we are looking for the winner whether it be a tip in the race or looking for the Bonus winner but if we were tipping in the race, we would look at value and spot bookies mistakes, value goes out of the window on the Bonus Race, we simply want the winner.
 
During my race study I narrowed the race down to 4 selections, those being the first 4 in the market. Yes I could have looked at horses at big prices who no doubt offer value but I am sure we would have a few unhappy syndicate members if I went and put up a 20/1 shot when £308k is on offer. Genius if it did come off but the backlash would, I am sure be – ‘what are you doing’.
 
With that in mind I will start with the favourite (at the time of writing), and work my way through the 4 horses, offering my conclusion at the end of the race:
 
FRENCH DYNAMITE
Mouse Morris is as shrewd a trainer as you will find and I am sure he would have targeted this race with French Dynamite. He was a good winner of a Grade 3 Novice Chase at Thurles last season, beating the now 149 rated Ciel De Niege by a nose. He then went to Punchestown at the Festival and came home a decent 3rd of 15 to El Barra. That horse has since gone on to finish 3rd in the Galway Plate and last weekend went and won a Grade 3 at Cork. The form is solid from French Dynamite and even back to his hurdling days, he was a very decent horse. 
He lines up here rated 148 which is probably about right and although he is probably a worthy favourite he does come with a few negatives. That being the fact Mouse Morris said after his win over hurdles 3 weeks ago that he might be a bit short of a graded horse and is probably a handicap horse. This is a handicap so not a huge negative but at the same time you couldn’t say he is very handicapped on 148, if they actually think he is a handicapper. I also feel he possibly wants 3 miles and 5 of his 6 wins have been going right handed (4 wins at Thurles) so it could be that he is a better horse going right handed. The last Irish trainer to win this was Edward O’Grady and that was all the way back in 2009 with Tranquil Sea. I have heard a lot about this stat over the last few days but it is really lazy journalism or lazy tipsters who just hang on to a stat without thinking it through. It is quite easy to throw a stat out like that without backing it up but if they just dig a bit deeper they would find that the Irish have only run 4 horses in this race since 2016 and just 17 horses since 2010. Of course with a tiny amount of runners, the chances of winning are a lot less. I also feel the travelling is not ideal and in the back of my mind ‘why have they not travelled to Cheltenham before for any festival?’.
 
GA LAW
Ga Law comes here on the back of an excellent 3rd to Riders On The Storm in the Grade 2 Old Roan Chase. This was after a huge 603 days off the track and a change in tactics to how he normally runs. Reading between the lines I am sure Jamie Snowden instructions were to just put him at the back of the field, let him get around, let him get some confidence as the long term plan is the Paddy Power Gold Cup. Again reading between the lines, I don’t think he was expecting the horse to finish with such a flurry after such a long time off the track, to finish just 1/2 length behind a proper Grade 1 horse in Hitman. Ga Law even stays on the same handicap mark of 142 and he could quite easily have gone up the handicap. Before his 603 days off the track he was a Grade 2 Novice Chase winner at Wincanton as a 4 year old and was blowing fields away from the front. He was even sent to the Grade 1 VIII Novices Chase at Sandown when coming home 3rd to Allmankind and Hitman. To be doing that as a 4 year old and jumping with such zest, literally pinging each fence was a joy to see. His final start over fences as a 4 year old was at Kempton in the Grade 2 Pendil Novice Chase when coming home 2nd and that was the last time we saw for 603 days. He obviously had a setback but by the looks of things, it has done him no harm and if anything be the best thing that could have happened. He would have matured, he would have got stronger and surely has so much more in the locker to come from his Aintree run.
I guess the negative is he has never run around Cheltenham but 2 of his 8 runs have been at left handed courses and both times he ran well at Fontwell and Aintree. 
I think you will see Ga Law adopt his usual prominent style of running and given how well he jumps, if he takes to these Cheltenham fences he could take lengths out of the field if he gets into a lovely rhythm. You also have to feel at the age of 6, his mark of 142 is very workable and he could be well ahead of the handicapper. The good to soft ground we are likely to get will also be perfect. 
 
STOLEN SILVER
Sam Thomas is having a great time of things so far this season and even back to last season he has been going great guns. I am sure nobody would begrudge him and Dai Walters a win here, after last week’s Helicopter crash. We hope both are recovering well and wish them all the best.
Back to Stolen Silver and he did nothing but improve last season and is likely to be at his peak this season. He was a 2 time winner last season which included a win at Cheltenham, as well as a 4th in the Plate Handicap Chase at the Cheltenham Festival and a 2nd at this meeting in November, over 2 miles. Following his win at Cheltenham back in April he has no gone up to a handicap mark of 150. Although he is respected, you have to feel others are much better handicapped, but I guess improvement is once again possible.
 
IL RIDOTO 
You have to respect anything trained by Paul Nicholls and this looks to be his number 1 chance. He is just a 5 year old so you can expect improvement again this season, while his handicap mark of 140 looks very workable. All his races apart from 1 have been over 2m and he did manage to get his head in front at Newbury in November last season. He ran a few decent races after without winning and you would have to think his best run was over 2m 4f on his final start of last season, at Ayr, when 3rd of 5 to Do Your Job. Although I am sure Paul Nicholls has got plenty of improvement out of the horse, he was still a horse who raced too freely last year, along with plenty of negatives, that you would be backing this horse in the hope he has improved and sorted his issues, rather than knowing the issues are sorted. Again a horse I respect and would not be at all surprised to see him go close but you have to weigh things up in perspective and for me he will be an even better horse next year or later in the season. 
 
CONCLUSION
 
You could make a strong case for all of the above but I have visualised everything about this race and for me, everything points to GA LAW. Let’s get the negative out of the way and that is the fact he has not been around Cheltenham but the same could be said about French Dynamite and even Il Ridoto, who although has been around Cheltenham, he has not run well at the course. The only one with course form from the horses mentioned above, is Stolen Silver. Now it is my job to assess whether I think GA LAW will handle the course and I think given how well he jumps, he is made for these Cheltenham Fences. I am assuming that the plan will be to resort to his usual tactics of being prominent and letting his jumping test those in behind him. If GA LAW adopts these tactics, and I can’t for the life of me see why he wouldn’t, this race really could fall into his lap. Let’s look back to the last 4 years and 2 of the winners (Baron Alco and Coole Cody) won from the front. Last year’s winner Midnight Shadow was also prominent, while Happy Diva was mid division. That tells me it pays to be prominent and apart from GA LAW last run at Aintree, when they were just getting a run into him out the back of the field, he has always been a front runner or prominent. French Dynamite also likes to be up with the pace which is a positive for him while Stolen Silver is a mid division horse while judging from Paul Nicholls comments about ll Ridoto ‘will enjoy a fast pace so he can come from off the pace’, he will be held up and I don’t fancy being a horse who needs luck in running in a messy race like the Paddy Power Gold Cup.
Now on to the all important handicap mark, with Stolen Silver being rated the highest at 150. In my opinion I don’t think he is a 150 horse. He was rated 144 at the Cheltenham Festival (primed) and could only come home 4th to Coole Cody at 110% fit. Yes he won his final start impressively but the point being Stolen Silver got found out on marks of 145 and 144, in these types of races last season.
Il Ridoto has come down the handicap to a mark of 140 and I think he could possibly be better than his current mark, given he is only a 5 year old. Trouble is this is a very hot race and he won’t be able to race freely as he did last year and neither will he have it easy coming through a wall of horses. Personally I think he will come on an awful lot and learn an awful lot in this race, that he will be primed for the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup in December (you heard it here first).
French Dynamite is rated 148 and once again he could be better than that mark but Mouse Morris thinks he is possibly just short of graded company and possibly a handicapper. If that is the case you are talking about a horse whose ceiling is between 148 – 153. 
GA LAW is rated 142 and I have no doubt in my mind he is ‘very well handicapped’. I actually can’t believe the handicapper kept him on 142 after finishing like a train in the Old Roan Chase to come home 3rd. He ran in that race after 603 days off the track and basically what the handicapper is saying is ‘he has no more improvement to come’ . We are happy to keep him at 142. Well thank you very much as I believe GA LAW could be a Grade 2 or Grade 3 horse, rated as high as 155 at best. He will come on tons for his Aintree run and I know some people talk about the ‘bounce factor’ on their 2nd run after a long lay off but I just think that term is used to look fancy and there is no such evidence of it being a thing. 
Taking you back to GA LAW novice days as a 4 year old with so much talent and was able to win a Grade 2 Rising Star Novice Chase, by a huge 22 lengths. He jumped his rivals into submission and even back then you just knew he was better than 142. On his next start he came home 3rd in a Grade 1 Henry VIII Novice Stakes, to Allmankind and Hitman. Both those horses are now rated 160 and 159 over fences while GA LAW still remains on 142, mainly due to the fact he has not raced because he was off the track for 603 days. Think about it logically, connections thought this horse was up to Grade 1 company as a novice and he showed it on the track, yet a couple of years later he is floating around on a mark of 142 primed for the Paddy Power Gold Cup, at the tender age of 6. How many pounds does this horse really have in hand as I would go 10 – 15lb.
Now on to the all important ground which looks like it will be good to soft ground. I think this ground makes it a level playing field for all of the above and certainly a ground in which GA LAW will be very happy. 
 
So just to summarise how I see the race being run and the visualization I have in my head. Coole Cody will go off in front and will be tracked by GA LAW, French Dynamite and Editeur Du Gite. GA LAW will keep pinging fences in behind and after the 3rd last fence coming around the bend to the 2nd last fence, GA LAW will jump to the front while Coole Cody gets in tight to the 2nd last fence. GA LAW will have a couple of horses in behind trying to get to him coming to the last fence but GA LAW jumps the last in front and starts his run up the hill, a few others in behind that include French Dynamite and II Ridoto are starting to close but GA LAW low weight and handicap mark are crucial, as he kicks on again when the others behind don’t have the legs up the hill to win by 1 1/2 lengths.
 
Anyway what will be will be guys but I hope you can see from the detailed write up that every angle has been thought about and I really could not have worked any harder. Those who work the hardest generally get rewarded and I am super confident GA LAW can do the business for us. 
 
I am a great believer in that if you believe something will happen enough, it will happen. Let’s be confident and let’s get this £308k in the bag.
 
COME ON GA LAW let’s win money ‘Galore’….

 

CORACH RAMBLER 8/1 WINNER OF THE GRAND NATIONAL
I want to get on now before the prices go on both horses. Before moving on, people will have you fooled by calling this race a lottery. If you told me the same 20 years ago, I would totally agree but each year these fences are getting easier and easier. Don’t get me wrong, it is sure to have some horses unseat or be pulled up, but it is not as hard a race as it used to be. We had 3rd and 4th in the race last year but this year I am all out for the winner and have two selections who have Grand National written all over them. 
 
CORACH RAMBLER is just the perfect Grand National horse, he will stay forever, he jumps well, he travelled better than ever in the Ultima Handicap Chase and I wouldn’t even say he had a hard race at Cheltenham. Lucinda Russell knows what it takes to win this race after winning it with One For Arthur in 2017 and the same applies for Derek Fox. 
Obviously we will need a bit of luck in running but these fences are not as hard as they used to be and horses just jump straight through them. Horses tend to unseat on the landing side rather than the fence itself.
I know you can’t be super confident in a Grand National given the nature of the race, but I am as confident as can be under the circumstances. CORACH RAMBLER will have just 10st 5lb on his back as top weight Any Second Now is certain to run and given the form this horse is in, what is going to stop him with 10st 5lb on his back. All he needs in my opinion is a clear round of jumping and CORACH RAMBLER is your 2023 Grand National winner. If he gets over the last fence within a few lengths of the leader, I have no doubt he will get home better than anything.
 
Come on the Rambler, this race is tailor made for you. E/W.

 

WEST BALBOA 13/2 WINNER OF A HANDICAP HURDLE AT AINTREE

I have been waiting patiently for WEST BALBOA to run and finally we get our chance to get involved. I am literally all over her and she goes down as my best bet of the Aintree Festival. Obviously that doesn’t guarantee the win but I am confident in what I am seeing and what I have seen to date, to know that she is very well handicapped off a mark of 135. 
Dan Skelton skipped Cheltenham in favour of this flat track and she will come into the race fully tuned, as if this was her Gold Cup.
She is a very lightly raced 7 year old with only 4 career starts and only 2 starts this season. She was 2nd on her first start of the season, coming back from 339 days off the track and then went to Kempton and won the Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle off a mark of 130, battling on all the way to the line. She has gone up 5lb but the way she stayed on in her last race, on soft ground, over 2m 5f, she looked to be crying out for 3 miles. 
She is now up in trip to 3 miles and on better ground you are going to see an even better horse.
Going back to her novice days she was 2nd in the Grade 1 Challow Hurdle to Stage Star and that form has obviously worked out well.
I would go as far to say I think she is a good 10lb – 15lb well in on the handicap. We are obviously going to need a bit of luck in running but this is as confident a handicap tip from me all season. I guess we will find out tomorrow but as always I wear my heart on my sleeve and say it how it is. E/W.

 

MIDNIGHT RIVER WINNER OF A HANDICAP CHASE AT AINTREE
Another horse I have been waiting all season for him to get his conditions is MIDNIGHT RIVER and finally he has got the good to soft ground required to see him at his best. I know the ground went soft today but from 3pm this afternoon, no more rain is forecast. With the weather sunny all day tomorrow, by 4:15pm tomorrow the ground will be back to good to soft with temperatures around 14C. I have also been waiting for him to step up to 3 miles, which he finally is for the first time this season. Dan Skelton has also put a first time tongue tie on which should help that bit more.
 
MIDNIGHT RIVER is a highly regarded horse who has won 2 from 4 starts this season and also finished 3rd in the Paddy Power Gold Cup in November. He was midfield in the Plate at the Cheltenham Festival but that was a scrappy race and I have no doubt he is better than what we saw. He has come down the handicap to a mark of 151 and although I wouldn’t exactly say he is well handicapped, I do still think he has a few more pounds improvement in him. This is not the strongest race he has run in this season and although he carries 11st 7lb, I can’t have him out of the frame. E/W.

 

CORACH RAMBLER 7/1 WINNER OF THE CHELTENHAM 2023 ULTIMA HANDICAP CHASE

CORACH RAMBLER is just a solid pick to start off our Festival Handicap. This is not to say come the day we won’t have other selections in the Ultima, but this would be my strongest selection in the race.

He was the winner of this race last season off a mark off a mark of 140 and he was doing all his best work at the end of the race. He is now up to a mark of 147 but I think he can defy a 7lb rise in the weights, especially as this race this year, is going to be an even more test of stamina with the ground being soft. The more a test of stamina the better for CORACH RAMBLER.

He has not been seen since the Coral Gold Cup (Hennessy) back in November, when an excellent 4th of 15 to Le Milos. The ground was good that day so it would have been against him, but he still stayed on from the last fence, in his usual fashion, and it just left me feeling he may have more up his sleeve. He has not been seen since as he is being aimed at the Grand National where he is currently 12/1 2nd fav. If he is 12/1 for that race with 40 runners, the 7/1 here in a weaker race looks decent. Lucinda Russell knows the time of day with her horses and clearly did not want to ruin his handicap mark prior to weights being released in the National. That is a sign that she still thinks he is ahead of the handicapper and given the National is just 1 month away, he will be a very fit horse. Following this race she will want to just keep ticking him over so she won’t have left much training in the horse. Besides CORACH RAMBLER won this race last year and the pot is worth £70k to the winner. Surely it is a case of, win this race first and then on to the National. Derek Fox takes the ride and he knows this horse inside out. He was on him last year when winning the race and in fact is the only jockey to ride him, in 11 races under rules. He is a 9 year old who only 11 races under rules, so very lightly raced.

For me CORACH RAMBLER will be staying on up the hill late in the race and in my mind, I have a placed finish at the very least. E/W.

SIRE DU BERLAIS 50/1 WINNER OF THE CHELTENHAM STAYERS HURDLE

I am also going to have a small stake on SIRE DU BERLAIS at a ridiculous price. He loves the Cheltenham Festival and has won 2 Pertemps Hurdles and finished 2nd in this race in 2021. He may be past his best but it is this time of year that he comes alive. He won the Stayers Hurdle at Aintree last year and you can literally write off anything he does over the winter, as Gordon Elliott trains him to peak in the Spring. I am not saying he is going to win this but I would not be at all surprised if he plugged on for a place here. If he is close enough after the last hurdle, not many will get home better than him. E/W.

LANGER DAN 10/1 WINNER OF THE CORAL CUP

LANGER DAN deserves a win at a Cheltenham Festival and I still think on a mark of 141 he is still nicely treated. He was 2nd in the 2021 Martin Pipe Handicap, bumping into Galopin Des Champs, who was a Grade 1 horse running in a handicap at the time. He was only beaten 3 lengths and pulled a huge 9 lengths clear of 3rd that day. Last year LANGER DAN was then well fancied in the same race but was unlucky when brought down at just the 2nd hurdle. He made amends by winning at Aintree and showed just how good a horse he can be. 

I think this race could set up perfectly for him as he is a strong travelling horse who needs a strong pace. He will no doubt get the pace he wants in this race and I can see him travelling sweetly just off the leaders and try and make his move coming to the last hurdle. 

We will need a little luck in running but if the gaps open up for him, he will no doubt be thereabouts. E/W.

 

What festival packages are available?

Our Cheltenham November Festival 2023 is just £11.99 for the entire meeting – extensive and comprehensive coverage! Do not miss out!

Don’t forget we also cover 17 festivals each year and you can pay quarterly for £39 which gives you a strong saving.

You could even pay yearly for £119 and get all 17 festivals which gives you an even bigger discount.

Our focus and confidence is high, so you are in for a treat.

Don’t miss out as we will only have 300 spaces available.

Note: If you already have an account, please login before completing the form below.

Translate

Pin It on Pinterest