Sunday 7th June
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Yesterdays free tip Shades Of Blue, unfortunately had run at all. She got sandwiched, she got bumped, she got hampered. I wouldn’t give up on the horse just yet as she is better than that.
Elsewhere we were in great form and found an 11/1 winner, a 28/1 place and another 20/1 place, earning 7 points profit on the day.
Here are the winners sent out yesterday
1:15 Newmarket
COPPER KNIGHT 14/1 Sky Bet, Betfair and Paddy Power (4 places, 1/5 odds) – 0.5 POINTS E/W
MAKANAH 11/1 generally (4 places, 1/5 odds) – 0.5 POINTS E/W
We have two selections in this race.
The front two in the market are Count DOrsay and Aplomb, both of whom I am keen to take on. I think both horses would prefer soft ground and although a little rain is forecast tomorrow morning, it is nothing that is really going to get into the ground. Both horses last season won on soft and showed signs that optimum conditions were with cut in the ground. I would easily oppose Aplomb in particular as he has also only run over 5f once in his career and is surely better over further.
The two I am happy to take them on with are COPPER KNIGHT and MAKANAH.
COPPER KNIGHT is a front runner who likes to get on with things. As we saw today, front runners held a distinct advantage. He loves fast ground which he is going to get and with the track riding very fast today, it will be right up his street. He was a winner at York last May off a handicap mark of 100, he then won another race at the same course in July which was a listed race. He ran with credit in the Group 2 Qatar Stakes behind Baataash and then followed this up with another solid run, again behind Baataash in the Group 1 Nunthorpe at York. He seems a horse who starts the season well before tailing off at the end of the season so I believe if you are going to catch the horse in the winners enclosure, it will be at the start of the season. Last season he was winning in May and in 2018 he was winning in June. He does have to give weight away to the field but looking through the field, I do think it is a weak Class 2 handicap. The 14/1 on offer is way too big and great value. E/W.
Our 2nd selection is MAKANAH who I think will improve again this season. He went up the handicap last season from a mark of 80 to 97. He finished 4th of 22 in a very competitive handicap at York back in August, off a handicap mark of 96. Today he lines up on that same handicap mark. If he can repeat that run he has to go very close. On his final start last season he was behind today’s favourite Count DOrsay but is 6lb better off with that horse today and I cannot see why there is such a price difference between the pair. MAKANAH travels well through his races and with the fast pace will get a nice toe into the race. With 4 places on offer the 11/1 is again great value. E/W.
Our form is top class
As you will be aware we revamped our service on now concentrate on the big festivals and weekends.
Our results are flying along in 2020 and you watch us go this season:
No to mention the full 5 years of results previously and we are only going to get better given the extended amount of time we will spend on festivals and weekend, giving it our full attention.
WE HAVE 3 SELECTIONS WE ARE GIVING AWAY FOR FREE IN THE 1000 GUINEAS
SUNDAY 7th JUNE FREE TIP
Price correct at time of sending last night
3:35 Newmarket (1000 Guineas)
BOOMER 14/1 generally – 0.5 POINTS E/W (4 places, 1/5 odds)
SUMMER ROMANCE 25/1 generally – 0.375 POINTS E/W (4 places, 1/5 odds)
UNDER THE STARS 25/1 generally – 0.375 POINTS E/W (4 places, 1/5 odds)
The big race and we have 3 selections against the field, all at nice prices. I believe the front 3 in the market Quadrilateral, Love and Millisle are there to be shot at. They range from 3/1 – 4/1 which is plenty short enough.
Quadrilateral if I had to pick between the front three would be my choice but against a field where I can see huge prices about some really progressive sorts, I will take her on happily enough. She was a Group 1 winner last season at this course in October. It was a good win but she did make hard work of it. A few horses went for home far too early and she just picked them up. She is the right favourite and I wouldn’t go as far as to say ‘easily opposed’ but I am happy to take her on at 3/1.
Love who is trained by Aiden O’Brien was 3rd behind Quadrilateral at Newmarket but she strikes me as an Oaks horse rather than guineas horse and wants further. You have to respect any Aiden O’Brien horses but again 7/2 and I am happy to take her on.
Millisle is a horse who I would ‘easily oppose’. I will probably get egg on my face for writing this but I can’t have her staying the mile with her breeding. She started her career as a 2 year old over 5f and ended up winning a group 1 over 6f at this course in September. Don’t get me wrong she was impressive but she is by Starspangledbanner (a sprinter) and her Dam only got a mile. I would normally side with more of a 1m 2f – 1m 4f horse in these types of races and I believe she will go to the front but get nailed inside the last furlong.
The same can be said about Raffle Prize whose stamina will be tested over 1m.
The three horse I am going to go to work with against the field are:
BOOMER who is trained by Tom Dascombe and is bred to get further. She is by Kingman (2000 Guineas 2nd, won multiple Group 1s) whose horses train on the majority of the time. She was a group 3 winner last season at Goodwood when beating Dark Lady (beat Millisle last season). She then went to Doncaster for a Group 2 and was beaten by just a length to a smart horse in Powerful Breeze in 2nd. Her final start was at this course back in October for the Group 1 Fillies Mile. That race was won by today’s favourite Quadrilateral but I do think BOOMER kicked for home too soon, setting the race up for others. She was travelling as good as anything, if not better, yet jockey Richard Kingscote decided to kick for home 2 1/2 furlongs out. If he held on to her that bit longer, the result may have been different. Inside the last furlong she had already used her kick so could not go again. She stayed on though into 5th, beaten 3 lengths. Obviously she is a horse who likes to be prominent and over the last few days we have seen, the track is biased to prominent horses. She is a progressive horse who has a lovely action and given she was only beaten 3 lengths to Quadrilateral last time out, I don’t see why there is such a price difference. With 4 places on offer she is very good value as I am sure if she was trained by one of the bigger trainers, she would be half those odds. E/W.
SUMMER ROMANCE is another horse by Kingman who is a breeding machine of high quality horses. This is a horse who is trained by Charlie Appleby and a horse I think will do very well as a 3 year old. She won two races last season and was then beaten in two group 3s at short odds. She looked to be crying out for a step up in trip as she didn’t have the speed over 6f, everything was a little too fast for her. Now up to 1m for the first time and a winter behind her to grow, I think you may well see a different horse. Even though she was beaten in a group 3 over 6f furlongs on her last start, she was sent off 6/4 fav. The race was won by Dark Lady with Millisle, who is fighting for favoritism for this race, back in 2nd. If you had asked me after that race last September, who would progress better when stepped to 1m, without hesitation I would have said SUMMER ROMANCE. How one is 4/1 and the other 25/1 is beyond me and I think she is massive value. Watch out for an alarming drift before the off as I would go back in at big odds on this one especially with 4 places on offer and William Buick taking the ride. E/W.
Our final selection is UNDER THE STARS who is by Night Of Thunder (won a 2000 guineas). Again she is bred to want 1m and further and the further she steps up in trip the better she will be. This will be her first time over 1m and I think it will end up being her optimum trip. She is trained by James Tate, again not regarded as a ‘top trainer’ but he is a trainer I have respect for. She was a 3 time winner last season and ran well when beaten in some top class Group races. She was beaten by Love in a group 1 at the curragh by 2 lengths, over 7f. She was doing her best work late and clearly looked like a horse in need of a step up in trip. It was surprising to see her go down in trip on her final start at this course last year, but she stuck on again doing her best work at the line. She also has good form at this course and was clearly trained with the race in mind. She was 2nd to 4th to Daahyeh (beaten 1 length) in a group 2 here in her penultimate start, once again running late on. If she progresses for the step up in trip as I think she will the 25/1 looks huge with 4 places on offer. E/W.
Good Luck