Scoop 6 Bonus Race Selection
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At 3:15 if we find the winner of the November Handicap we win a further £38k, on top of last weeks Scoop 6 win.
For those who want to cheer our horse home or even have a saver, he it is.
Fingers Crossed.
3:15 Doncaster – The November Handicap
The Scoop 6 Bonus race and after winning the Scoop 6 last weekend for our share of £140k, we now have to find the winner in one race for another nearly £38k. We will be joined by another 3 winners who each will have one pick in the race.
With the selection I am about to put up, if we do find the winner I think we will win it on our own, whereas if the favourite wins, I imagine others will share the £38k.
I have narrowed the race down to 5 horses.
It is a very hard race with 23 runners and the market is headed by Sam Cooke. For me personally although he is an improving horse, he is up to a mark of 95 and that is without winning on his last two starts. He is a horse I am happy to take on as I wouldn’t want to be on him and have to share the £38k, which in effect would make him a 3/1 shot. He certainly is no 3/1 shot.
Eugene Glen has won two group 3s on the bounce and has to be respected. He is now rated 109 and gives away a stone or more to 19 of the runners. That is a lot of weight to giveaway in a race like this and he is a horse who likes to get on with things. It will be hard to get a good position from stall 18 and although I rate him as a big danger, when weighing up the negatives, he is there to be shot at. Being the 2nd fav he also comes with the risk of sharing the selection with another person/syndicate, something I don’t feel is worth risking.
Kingbrook is next in the market after winning the Old Rowley Cup at Newmarket a month ago. It was a good performance but has now gone up the handicap another 6lb. He has it all to do off a mark of 97 and I would be a little weary that he is a 3 year old, lacking experience.
On To Victory has been in good form this season placing in 3 handicaps. Although he will travel well I am not sure that 1m 4f is his best trip and probably wants further. Saying that the strong pace will suit and if I had two picks, this would more than likely be the other one.
We only have one selection so what will be will be but the horse I am siding with is a horse I have been following all season, DASH OF SPICE.
I have been saying all season that DASH OF SPICE has a big win in him off his current handicap mark and although he has not returned anything in 3 times we have tipped him, on two times we tipped him, in the following days review, twice I have said ”you mark my words he will win a big handicap by the end of the season”. This is the final handicap of the season so he will have no more chances to win and confirm what I have said all season.
How can I desert a horse which I have called would win a big handicap all flat season and even quoted it to members? Is it meant to be? Something I am asking myself as this is not something I often quote in my reviews, in fact I think he may be the only one.
I believe he has been lined up for a big race all season. He started the season back in July coming from a 727 day lay off and has taken some time to reach top form and peak for today. He started the season on a mark of 104 and is now down 10lb to a mark of 94.
Prior to his 727 day lay off he was a winner on Epsom Derby Day in 2018 and then a winner at Royal Ascot when winning the Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes, off a handicap mark of 98. He is 4lb lower today and if he could find that form again, he could literally walk this race.
Trainer David Elsworth is as shrewd as they come and he has certainly got him to peak at the right time, judging by his last run, 2 weeks ago. It was his best run of the season coming home 2nd to another of today’s runners in Tulip Fields, giving him 8lb for a 2 length beating. He is on 3lb better terms with that horse this time around.
The booking of Tom Marquand is a very strong one and I like the fact they used him last time out to get used to the horse. Jockeys don’t get much stronger than Tom Marquand and given the way DASH OF SPICE likes to be ridden from the front, he needs a very strong jockey to get him home.
DASH OF SPICE is drawn in 3, right on the inside so he can make use of the rail and get a nice advantage and a nice position to hug the rail.
I would much rather have a front runner on my side in a race like this to avoid any traffic problems.
I see the race being run with DASH OF SPICE being right up 1st, 2nd or 3rd and then trying to kick on from 2f out and trying to stretch the field. If he can take a couple of lengths out of the field and Tom Marquand is in full drive, given he is going to be the fittest he has been all season, he could be hard to catch. If he is going to win, I think it will be by a short margin but with his draw, with his jockey booked, with the trainers shrewd ways, I am hoping he can win the race and confirm what I have been saying all season.
What will be will be but as always I go into the race confident and I will always stick by the saying ”confidence breeds success”.
If you believe you can win then you can and will win, COME ON DASH OF SPICE, you can do this.