ONE FOR THE TEAM 5/1 generally – 1 POINT WIN
CANELO 6/1 generally – 1 POINT WIN
We have 2 selections in this race.
I am keen to take on the favourite in this race, Cap Du Nord. Nothing against the horse as I think he is the worthy favourite but more to do with the skinny price in such a handicap. I also believe 139 – 142 is his ceiling of how good he is so he can’t have much more left in the locker to come. I could of course be wrong as that is just my judgement on the horse but I am happy to take him on unless he proves me wrong and if he does, well done to the Christian Williams yard.
The two I want to take him on with are CANELO and ONE FOR THE TEAM.
CANELO has finally sorted his jumping out this season and now it is sorted out, there has been no stopping him. He has won 2 of his last 4 starts and came 2nd in another race. The 2nd was actually to today’s favourite who he had to give 15lb. Today he only gives the favourite 9lb so is 6lb better off at the weights for a 4 length beating. I also think CANELO is a better horse than when they met at the end of November.
CANELO two wins came at Aintree at the start of November when winning over 2m 4f (a trip short of his best) and then last month at Wetherby, when winning a grade 3 handicap chase, similar to today’s race, travelling very smoothly throughout.
With a couple of front runners in this race, they should go a good clip and I believe this will really suit CANELO who finishes his races off so well. He is now rated 148 but now his jumping is sorted out, he has the potential to improve a few more pounds. WIN.
ONE FOR THE TEAM is a very interesting runner for the Nick Williams stable. A horse who made his name over hurdles last season going up to a mark of 140, he always looked a horse who would do better over fences, given his size and scope.
He has had 3 starts over fences this season so is still a novice but he has ran well in his last two races. He was 2nd to the classy Next Destination on his penultimate start, in a grade 2 at Newbury, only beaten 1 length. He then went to Kempton for the Kauto Star Novice Chase, coming home 5th of 7 to Shan Blue and The Big Breakaway, only beaten 9 lengths. That is a grade 1 race and the winner, Shan Blue, ran a faster time than Frodon in the King George, over the same course and distance. That looks a very hot race and his 9 lengths 5th looks very good form. It actually makes his mark of 141 look very appealing.
Like Canelo, ONE FOR THE TEAM will appreciate a strong pace to come off and given Tom Scudamore rides off 10st 11lb, he has to have an excellent chance. WIN.