Weekend Review (8th October - 10th October)
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The National Hunt Season is up and running and we are off the ground running with 4.3 points profit on the first weekend of racing.
Our form has been excellent over the last month and we are really at the top of our game.
The hunger I have for this upcoming National Hunt Season has never been greater and I am as determined as they come.
Before moving on with our Weekend Review, I think now is a good time to look back on our results over the last month.
September 11th – October 10th Results
During this period we had 64 bets so on average around 2 bets per day.
28 POINTS PROFIT
14 WINNERS
11 EACH WAY RETURNS
39% STRIKE RATE (Win or Each Way)
Those stats are up with the best in the industry and it is a good indication of what is about to come this coming National Hunt Season. We are now in our 14th National Hunt Season and have made profit in the last 13 National Hunt Seasons.
WEEKEND REVIEW
Friday marked the start of the National Hunt Season at Chepstow and although we came into the day on the back of lots of winners, we actually didn’t have a great day. Our selections ran a bit flat but these things happen and it was all about brushing ourselves down for Saturday and Sunday, ensuring we bounced back in style.
Saturday and we came away with a lovely winner in Buzz and an excellent 2nd from Didtheyleaveuoutto for each way money. We got all our money back from Friday and we gave out an excellent write up on Buzz:
3:35 Newmarket
BUZZ 8/1 WINNER – 1 POINT E/W (7 places, 1/5 odds)
I always like to have one on my side in the Cesareswitch as it is the biggest handicap of the year with the most runners. It is basically a National Hunt race with no hurdles over a trip of 2m 2f.
I am happy to side with BUZZ who is trained by Nicky Henderson and the fact he has snapped up the services of Champion Jockey Oisin Murphy, gives me even more confidence. Oisin Murphy had to step down from riding today as he blew over the riding limit for Alcohol but under the limit for driving. I didn’t realise until today they were different so you learn something new everyday. Oisin Murphy after today’s news will be chomping at the bit tomorrow and I would rather have him on side than against.
BUZZ is a former flat horse who has previously won off a mark of 93 and placed off a mark of 98. He was then sent to Nicky Henderson 2 seasons ago with a National Hunt career in mind and has not looked back since. His latest start was an excellent 2nd in the Grade 1 Aintree Hurdle and 3 starts back, a 2nd in the Betfair Hurdle. Over hurdles he is now rated 155 which makes his current flat mark of 96 look tiny. BUZZ travels smoothly through his races and this type of race is perfect for him, as he is pretty much guaranteed and very fast pace that he needs. It all depends on the traffic problems he encounters but we have the best pilot in the business riding so fingers crossed BUZZ can go close. With 7 places on offer we have to go each way. E/W.
3:30 Chepstow
DIDTHEYLEAVEUOUTTO 28/1 2ND – 0.5 POINTS E/W (5 places, 1/5 odds)
The other horse I am siding with is DIDTHEYLEAVEUOUTTO who is a horse who needs fast ground. The faster the better and this ground is absolutely perfect for him. He is rated 129 by the handicapper and Niall Houlihan takes off 5lb so basically he is rated 124 which is far too low for a horse like this, getting his conditions. He ran on the flat 3 times over the summer so you know he is going to come into the race a fit horse and it was only this time last season he looked certain to win, but for a fall 3 hurdles out. Earlier on in his career he beat the likes of Thomas Darby over hurdles so he has plenty of ability. He is also only an 8 year old so he is entering his prime and at the price he offers huge value. E/W.
Sunday and we had 2 selections with both returning some lovely profit. Off Your Rocco was a lovely winner at Limerick and although a short price, we made him a 6/5 shot so the 7/4 was actually value. We also gave out A Wave By The Sea in the Munster National who ran a cracker to come home 2nd at 20/1 for more each money:
1:10 Limerick
OFF YOUR ROCCO 7/4 WINNER – 1.5 POINTS WIN
OFF YOUR ROCCO went into my notebook after winning at Listowel 3 weeks ago. He is a horse who did hold an entry at Chepstow in the Grade 2 Persian War on Friday but swerved that race in favour of this. His run 3 weeks ago was excellent and I loved the way he quickened up to win by 11 lengths, beating a good horse in Farout. The Gordon Elliott trained horse looks a smart one and if he keeps on improving as I expect him to, he should take a lot of stopping here.
3:55 Limerick
A WAVE BY THE SEA 20/1 2ND – 0.5 POINTS E/W (5 places, 1/5 odds)
I thought A WAVE BY THE SEA ran a good race last time out in the Kerry National coming home 6th of 18. It was his first try over 3 miles so should come on for that experience after a good blow post race. This Joseph O’Brien trained horse is only a 5 year old so has so much more improvement to come. He is rated 139 but if he keeps on progressing as he should, he could be much better than his current mark. Jockey Sam Torrens gets on well with the horse and won on him back in February at the Dublin Festival at Leopardstown. I don’t think this race is as hot as the Kerry National and given he is maturing with every run, I can see him running into a place at the very least. E/W.
CONCLUSION FROM THE WEEKEND
A decent start and 4.3 points profit in the bag. We made 94 points profit last season but this season I want my record of 176 points over the 6 months and 3 weeks.
We had 2 winners and two places at 28/1 and 20/1 so we were knocking on the door of massive profits.
What a season we have ahead of us and hopefully from the level of write ups, you can see we mean serious business.
A HORSE TO FOLLOW FROM THE WEEKEND
My long term followers will already know that I love Bravemansgame. I even included him in my Horses To Follow 3 years ago, before he even jumped a hurdle and quoted I can’t wait to see him jump a fence.
He made his debut over fences and what a debut it was. He never touched a twig and was absolutely faultless. To make his debut over fences and jump like he did, is unheard of and what makes it more impressive is, it wasn’t a weak race, he was taking on top class horses in The Big Breakaway and Fusil Raffles.
Bravemansgame is going right to the top and if he jumps like he did today, next time out, I would not be surprised to see him taking out of Novice Company, possibly at Newbury in February, as Coneygree was a few years back. That jumping display was better than anything I have seen from a novice before. Breathtaking.
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