AINTREE GRAND NATIONAL FREE TIPSFree Horse Racing TIps
You can still get the final 2 days of the Grand National Festival via the website.
As it is Grand National Day we are going to give out our Grand National Selections for today for free.
GRAND NATIONAL DAY FREE TIPS
5:15 Grand National
DELTA WORK 8/1 generally – 1 POINT E/W (6 places, 1/5 odds)
FIDDLERONTHEROOF 16/1 generally – 0.5 POINTS E/W (6 places, 1/5 odds)
SANTINI 40/1 William Hill and UniBet – 0.375 POINTS E/W (6 places, 1/5 odds)
DEATH DUTY 40/1 generally – 0.375 POINTS E/W (6 places, 1/5 odds)
We have 4 selections in the Grand National which I am happy to get involved with now.
A Lot of the work and thought process around DELTA WORK has pretty much been on his handicap mark and those around him on the same or nearer enough the same handicap mark. Basically do I think they should be near him on ratings and can they beat him etc.
Last year’s winner Minella Times is rated 1lb higher than DELTA WORK and we know that horse likes the National fences, but in terms of pure ability he is not a 1lb better horse than DELTA WORK.
Any Second Now who finished 3rd in this race and is fighting favouritism, is just 1lb lower than Delta Work on ratings but I am sorry in terms of ability he should not be that close on ratings. Over the National fences it may be different but at the prices I would side with DELTA WORK.
Then we have Burrows Saint, is that horse within 4lb of DELTA WORK in terms of ability, I can’t have it especially when you are comparing the price against that of DELTA WORK.
Our first selection comes here on the back of a lovely win in the Cross Country at the Cheltenham Festival. He beat Tiger Roll but what I was more impressed with was the fact it was his first start over the Cross Country Course and he was very good. To me apart from the National fences, the Cross Country Course is the closest trial you will get for the Grand National given the distance and the type of circuit it is and it is certainly a very good trial. Gordon Elliott has won the National with Silver Birch and Tiger Roll who both came to the race from Cheltenham and the Cross Country so the thought process certainly has legs.
DELTA WORK is not far off Gold Cup level and finished 5th in the 2020 Gold Cup, 3rd in the 2019 RSA Chase and a winner of the 2018 Pertemps Hurdle. When he won the 2018 Pertemps Hurdle over 3 miles, he was just a 5 year old, so even as a youngster he was a dour stayer, which means this sort of trip is going to be right up his street. He showed just how much he loved a trip last time out, if we needed clarification but I am just pointing out that 4 years ago, this sort of race and trip was his destiny.
He is still only a 9 year old and he is very much in his peak and who comes into this race in the form of his life.
It is the National fences so it is not a given that he will take to them but I am fairly confident he will do. Jack Kennedy takes the ride and he is as good a jockey as you would want in the saddle over these fences.
Provided he has a clear round, he is going to be very hard to beat in my opinion obviously with a bit of luck on his side. E/W.
FIDDLERONTHEROOF just missed the cut originally but now Farclas is out, I feel the need to put him up as he should run a very nice race.
He is lightly raced this season with just 3 starts which started with a win at Carlisle. He then stepped up in trip for the Ladbrokes Trophy over 3m 2f and ran a cracker to come home 2nd carrying 11st 4lb. His final start was at Ascot when another excellent 2nd, this time carrying top weight.
He was talked about by connections as a possible outsider for the Gold Cup but he missed that race to come into the Grand National as a fresh horse.
I think he could improve again with the step up in trip and if he takes to the fences he has an outstanding chance.
The booking of Brendan Powell is a strong one and he is a jockey I really rate highly, especially over fences. E/W.
Our 3rd selection is SANTINI. I have always said from day 1, SANTINI is a Grand National Horse and not a Gold Cup horse so I have to practice what I have been preaching for many years now. He is a very classy horse, he just lacks those gears needed at the end of races that win you Gold Cups. Although he did go very close in 2020 when beaten just a 2nd to Al Boum Photo.
He has since switched yards to Polly Gundry and after a bad 2020 – 2021 season with Nicky Henderson, she has certainly done a great job with the horse to get him back in excellent condition and running some top class races.
He was 2nd to Chantry House in the Cotswold Chase back in January and then ran a cracker in the Gold Cup to come home 8th and it was only after the 4th last fence that he just didn’t have the pace to go with the likes of Minella Indo and A Plus Tard.
I really think it is an excellent stepping stone for this race and we only have to go back to Many Clouds who finished 6th in the Gold Cup and then went on to win this race, to see that sometimes it can set you up perfectly. He would not have had the hardest race in the world as once he dropped away Nick Schofield was easy on him.
It is a bit of unknown whether he will take to the fences but if he does take to them I think he is a dour stayer who will relish every yard of the 4m 2f.
He is also only rated 153 which is tiny compared to what used to be capable of.
It was not that long ago that he was finishing in front of Delta Work in the RSA and sometimes when you look for the perfect Grand National horse, SANTINI is one I have always thought to be that type of horse. E/W.
Last but not least our old friend DEATH DUTY who has sneaked in right at the bottom of the handicap. The talented Jordan Gainford has been booked and he will have just 10st 7lb on his back. Over this marathon trip I really think DEATH DUTY has a right chance and he is an absolutely huge price. It was only 2 starts back he was winning a Grand National Trial at Punchestown in February over 3m 4f in Heavy Ground. On that evidence it is clear that all he does is stay and this 4m 2f is going to be right up his street. Last time out he ran at the Cheltenham Festival in the Ultima Handicap Chase and in all fairness he ran a respectable race to come home 6th of 24. He just got caught flat footed at one stage but did stay on once he picked up, and they are the attributes that can win you Grand Nationals.
He is a very solid jumper so I am confident he can adapt to these National Fences and although he is now an 11 year old, he is not your average 11 year old, as he has only had 24 career starts, with 13 of them coming over fences.
He is a former Grade 1 winner over fences and hurdles so we know he has that touch of class.
One thing for certain is if he is there with 3 or 4 fences to go and given he has an extremely lightweight and stays longer than the mother in law, you would have to be extremely confident he could outstay any of these to the line. With a rating of 144 he really could make a mockery of the mark.