LEGEND OF DUBAI 13/2 generally – 0.75 POINTS E/W (7 places Will Hill and Sky Bet)
BELL ROCK 8/1 generally – 0.5 POINTS E/W (7 places Will Hill and Sky Bet)
We have 2 selections in this race.
I can’t help but think the 4 year old LEGEND OF DUBAI has a good few pounds of improvement in him. He is rated 96 but now up in trip from 1m, I am convinced he will turn out to be a 100+ horse. He is a 4 year old who has only had 5 career starts. He was an easy winner over 1m at Newmarket in April and then sent off a tiny 7/2 for a 29 runner handicap at Ascot, again over 1m. He travelled well for a long way but just didn’t have the speed over a straight mile. I was surprised they went down the 1 mile route this season, if truth be told as on his final start as a 3 year old, he won over 1m 4f, so we know he stays. Given he won over 1m easily and 1m 4f easily as a 3 year old, you have to think 1m 2f is his optimum trip. He is bred to be very good as he is by Dubawi and out of a group 1 winning mare, Speedy Boarding, who also managed to win around Goodwood. I am confident LEGEND OF DUBAI should be a tad shorter and we are getting some nice value at the price.
BELL ROCK was 3rd in this race back in 2020 when rated 103. He lines up this year rated 102 but we also have the talented Harry Davies on board, claiming a further 5lb, bringing the mark down to 97 when taking the claim into consideration. At the start of last season he was a winner at Newmarket off a mark of 103 and since then he has run some nice races in group company, whereas in handicap company, his mark has been too high. Last time out at York he ran a great race in a listed race to come home 3rd over 1m and now back up to 1m 2f, it will be more his trip. As long as Harry Davies gets a nice position from his draw in 4, which is a decent draw, he should be thereabouts. E/W.
SANDRINE 11/1 generally – 0.75 POINTS E/W (4 places, 1/5 odds)
SIR DANCEALOT 50/1 generally – 0.375 POINTS E/W (4 places Will Hill and Sky Bet)
We have 2 selections in this race.
All eyes will be on the favourite Sacred who no doubt will be hard to beat but I am going to take a chance on 2 horses at big prices, especially with lots of bookies offering 4 places and there only being 11 runners.
SANDRINE is way overpriced in my opinion now back down to 7f. I think she will turn out to be a 7f specialist. She has run 3 times this season, all over 1m, all in group 1s. She hasn’t run a bad race either with a 5th of 13 in the 1000 guineas to Cachet, 7th of 12 to Insprial at Royal Ascot and then last time out was 3rd of 5 to Prosperous Voyage (Inspiral 2nd). She travels so smoothly through her races but just doesn’t get home over 1m. This is her opportunity to show everyone she is a proper group 1 horse running in a group 2 here and I expect her to fill the places at the very least. E/W.
SIR DANCEALOT is another horse way overpriced simply on the basis that he has won this race twice in the past. Is he the same horse he once was, probably not, but I can’t let a horse who has won this race twice and clearly loves it around Goodwood, go off at 50/1. He won this race in 2018 and 2019 and in 2020 he came home 5th to Space Blues. That was the last time we saw SIR DANCEALOT until June this year, some 697 days later at Newcastle. He clearly needed the run but did improve 3 weeks ago when 2nd in a handicap at Pontefract, carrying top weight. He will come again for that run and although he will find it very hard to win this race against some younger horses, I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see him place. At the price he is definitely one I want on my side asa huge value bet. E/W.