CHELTENHAM festival DAY 2

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A lovely day on the free tips yesterday with Corach Rambler doing the business.

It got even better on the full time and Cheltenham Festival service as we came away with 5 winners from 7 races and we are firmly on target to make it 15 from 15 festivals in profit. In fact a good day today and we have made it a profitable festival with 2 days to spare.

Don’t forget you can still get all our tips for the remaining 3 days for the £14.99 via the website.

This is not to be missed!

https://jpwracingtipster.com/subscribe/festival-special/next-festival/

Today we are giving away free tips in 2 races and prices are correct at the time of sending last night or when sent out Ante Post.

 

1:30 Ballymore Novice Hurdle
*Already advised Ante Post* – GOOD LAND 5/1 generally – 0.75 POINTS E/W
I am happy to add another horse of the trainer and that is GOOD LAND. As most of you already know I am a huge fan of Barry O’Connell, he is as shrewd as they come, I like the way his brain works and I just like how everything has a plan. I won’t give out the finer details of what I know about his operation but from top to bottom it works like clockwork and I like the fact he trains all his own horses so they have to win so he can make his money from a gamble or prize money.
Now the Ballymore looks a tough race and the current favourite is Hermes Allen. I really like the Paul Nicholls horse, I have mentioned that earlier in the season but the price has gone and personally I think he wants further and fences. That is not to say I don’t think he can’t or won’t win this race, as I rate him highly, but I am just not 100% sure he is a speed horse and given he likes to make the running, he could set the race up for a horse coming from off the pace and to me GOOD LAND fits perfectly into how the race will be run. He will be sat in 2nd, 3rd 4th, just off the pace and should get a lovely toe into the race. I have been nothing but impressed with this horse so far this season and apart from a fall on debut, he has won his 2 completed starts over hurdles. He was a winner at Leopardstown over the Christmas period with horses like Embassy Gardens easily beat in 3rd. That horse is currently 2nd fav for the Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle after a wide margin win last time out, boosting the form of GOOD LAND. Our selection then went and won the Grade 1 Nathaniel Lacy Novice Hurdle at the Dublin Racing Festival last month, over 2m 6f. He won easy enough and I am sure he has so much more improvement to come. He strikes me as a horse with lots of gears and on both his wins, when asked to win his race, he has opened up gaps of 5 lengths. That to me is the sign of a horse who has so many gears and a burst of speed which wins races. With a course like Cheltenham and in the Ballymore Novice Hurdle, immediately after the 2nd last hurdle, they come around the bend and onto the final hurdle. It is at this stage as soon as they jump to 2nd last hurdle that GOOD LAND can use his gears to open up a lead and coming into the last hurdle  and then what will be, will be, going up the Cheltenham Hill.
I have visualized this race in my head and it has the 2021 Ballymore Novice Hurdle written all over it. That year it was won by Bob Olinger and Bravemansgame made the running, another Paul Nicholls horse who has improved as he got older. Hermes Allen is in the same mould in my opinion and will improve for fences next season. He is going to make the running here and I can see GOOD LAND running the same sort of race as Bob Olinger under the talented Michael O’Sullivan taking the ride.
 
2:50 Coral Cup
*Already advised* – GOOD RISK AT ALL 16/1 generally – 0.75 POINTS E/W (6 places)
 
LANGER DAN 10/1 generally – 0.5 POINTS E/W (7 places Bet 365 and Betfair, 8 places Sky Bet)
 

Everything just seems to have come right for GOOD RISK AT ALL. The softer the ground the better and if it came up heavy, which with the forecast, could be possible, he will be dancing around his stable, clapping his hoofs together.

I have always had a soft spot for GOOD RISK AT ALL if truth be told but soft ground has to be in the description for him which it will be for him in this race. He has had 4 runs on soft or heavy ground with his form reading 11216, with the 6th coming last time out in the Stayers Handicap Hurdle, over 3 miles, a trip he didn’t quite stay as he raced freely.

Now back down to 2m 5f, a race which will be run at a fast pace, he will settle much better and get taken into the race. He has had 2 runs this season, with his first start of the season being an easy win in a handicap off a mark of 137. He has not been seen since 6th at Haydock, where he had his excuses and has been specifically trained for this race for the last 4 months. He could have quite easily have run prior to this race but they have clearly looked after his handicap mark.

Cheltenham will bring out his strengths in my opinion and he actually won a bumper around the old course on his 2nd career start.

He is a smart horse who even beat the likes of I Like To Move It, Gelino Bello and Might I in a bumper and the more experience and older and wiser he gets over hurdles, the better he is going to get.

Sam Thomas even ran the horse in the Grade 1 Mersey Novice Hurdle last season, which tells you how highly they regard him.

With Sam Twiston Davies in the saddle, one of the strongest in a finish, if he is anywhere near coming over the last hurdle, he is sure to get him home. E/W.

 

LANGER DAN deserves a win at a Cheltenham Festival and I still think on a mark of 141 he is still nicely treated. He was 2nd in the 2021 Martin Pipe Handicap, bumping into Galopin Des Champs, who was a Grade 1 horse running in a handicap at the time. He was only beaten 3 lengths and pulled a huge 9 lengths clear of 3rd that day. Last year LANGER DAN was then well fancied in the same race but was unlucky when brought down at just the 2nd hurdle. He made amends by winning at Aintree and showed just how good a horse he can be. 

I think this race could set up perfectly for him as he is a strong travelling horse who needs a strong pace. He will no doubt get the pace he wants in this race and I can see him travelling sweetly just off the leaders and try and make his move coming to the last hurdle. 

We will need a little luck in running but if the gaps open up for him, he will no doubt be thereabouts. E/W.

 

Good Luck

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