BURDETT ROAD 9/4 generally – 1.25 POINTS WIN
BURDETT ROAD is a Royal Ascot winner after winning the Golden Gates Stakes back in June. He comes from the flat when trained by Michael Bell and is now trained by James Owen who is an underrated trainer in my opinion, but a trainer who knows his National Hunt horses.
BURDETT ROAD was rated 101 on the flat and as a rule of thumb I add on 40 to the National Hunt mark, which means at best he should reach 140+. Obviously it is not always that easy and it does not always work out like that but it is something I have used to success over the years.
BURDETT ROAD is no doubt a very talented and classy horse and he made his debut over hurdles at Huntingdon 2 weeks ago. Although a bit keen, he won with ease and he can only improve on that performance. His jumping will improve, he should settle a bit better and all around, you should see an even better horse.
I would not be surprised to see Harry Cobden let the horse stroll on if he is pulling, just as he did at Huntingdon.
The booking of Harry Cobden is music to my ears as he was on board at Huntingdon so would have learned a lot about the horse that day.
I think he should be favourite and if he progresses naturally as I think he will, he will be very hard to beat.
STRICTLYADANCER 7/1 generally – 0.75 POINTS E/W (5 places, 1/5 odds)
We were on STRICTLYADANCER last time out at this course back in October. I thought he ran a great race to come home 4th and if Gina Andrews had him that bit closer throughout the race, he possibly would have won the race. He was basically given too much to do and although he stayed on up the hill, it was all too much too late.
I am happy to side with him again as I believe he will be primed once again for this race. He won this very race back in 2021 when sent off 9/4 fav. We know he likes the course and he stays all day long.
Edward Vaughan has been booked to ride and he will claim 7lb, bringing his mark down to 115, with just 10st 4lb on his back.
This is going to be a bit of a slog and I can see those near the bottom of the weights staying on late in the day and STRICTLYADANCER fits the bill perfectly.
Of the rest Tea Clipper is a danger but with the rain forecast overnight, his ground has gone. E/W.