2018 results

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These are the write ups of 2019’s winners so far

13th January

13:15 Punchestown – WINTER ESCAPE 7/1 – 0.5 POINTS E/W

WINTER ESCAPE is a fair price at 7/1 even though he has to give weight away to the field. He switched trainers from Alan King to Aidan Howard over the summer and has been in top form for his new trainer. He has won his last two starts over fences impressively and has is now reaching the potential connections though he would from the start. On his last start he was a 6 length winner of a Grade 3 so we know he can do it at this level. Mark Walsh has been riding him all season and knows him well and at 7/1 he is worth a bet with anyones money. E/W.

12th January

14:05 Kempton – TOP NOTCH 13/8 – 1.5 POINTS WIN

I think TOP NOTCH should be clear favourite here and confident he can beat Charbel. He has had 11 starts over fences and won 7. He is a very good jumper of a fence and seems to go better at Right Handed courses where he has won 5 of his races over fences. He has had one start this season which was over hurdles and came home a decent 3rd in the Grade 1 Long Walk Hurdle. Now back over fences he will take all the beating and I am happy to raise the stake. WIN.

10th January

12:35 Leicester – NEW MILLENNIUM 13/2 – 1 POINT WIN

NEW MILLENNIUM is a much better horse on a sounder surface so with the ground described as Good To Firm, it should be right up his street. He has only ran on ground once this quick and that ended with a win at Fontwell back in October. He beat Le Precieux that day who has since gone on to win 3 races on the bounce, making the form look solid. NEW MILLENNIUM likes to front run which should also suit as, 7 races have been run at the course, on good to firm ground with between 6-9 runners, 3 of those 7 races were won by the front runner. There certainly seems to be a pace bias in these conditions. Tom O’Brien takes the ride and he is a jockey who I rate highly. Overpriced on the stats I have found. WIN.

6th January

13:50 Naas – BATTLEOVERDOYEN 15/8 – 1.5 POINTS WIN

I was very impressed with BATTLEOVERDOYEN on his two starts this season and he looks like he could be a special horse. He made his debut over hurdles at Navan 3 weeks ago and he done very easily. He is up in trip here but that was always going to bring out improvement. Looks a two horse race with the Willie Mullins trained Tornado Flyer but I think Gordon Elliott will be winning this battle. He can go on and be the new favourite of the Ballymore Hurdle with a win here and I am fairly confident he will do so. WIN.

3rd January

15:25 Ludlow – SUBWAY SURF 11/4 – 1 POINT WIN

SUBWAY SURF is having his first start under rules for Kim Bailey here. He comes here after winning a point to point in May. Trainer Kim Bailey sends his better bumper horses to Ludlow and is actually 7 wins from his last 13 runners in bumpers at the course. He even started the excellent Vinndication off here in November 2017. Kim Bailey also won this race last year with Sea Story and also had the 3rd in the same race. The trainer comes here in good form and also the partnership with David Bass is in good form, over the last 14 days and also at the course in the last 365 days. Everything points to a big run from this horse and I am happy to get involved at 11/4. WIN.

1st January

14:35 Cheltenham – AUX PTITS SOINS 13/2 – 1 POINT E/W

My NAP of the day has to be AUX PTITS SOINS who ran an eye-catching race at Newbury last time out. This was on the back of 601 days off the track. He travelled really well and jumped ok throughout. He was travelling better than anything 2 hurdles out but got tired in the closing stages. That is understandable though as he had been off the course for so long. Now with that run under his belt he should improve massively. He was once described as a Grade 1 horse when with Paul Nicholls so he could be so well handicapped here off a mark of 141. Dan Skelton has taken his time with the horse since he has had him and that could pay dividends. He was a winner at the Cheltenham Festival back in 2015 when winning the Coral Cup off a mark of 139. He seems like he has been around forever but is only an 8 year old who could still have so much more to come. Confident of a big run. E/W.

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